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Paradox · Houston Astros

The Houston Astros project 20th in wins with the 5th-largest 2027 commitment.

Expected wins
78.6
Win rank
20th
Committed
$196M
Payroll rank
5th

The Houston Astros project for 78.6 wins, 20th in baseball, with $196M committed to 2027, the 5th-largest total.

60% of their projected value comes from players near the league minimum or in arbitration, against 71% for the average club. That share ranks 22nd in baseball.

Their biggest projected contributors: Yordan Alvarez, 3.1 wins at $19M; Jeremy Peña, 2.9 wins at about $12M, estimated; Isaac Paredes, 2.5 wins at cost not yet entered.

On our estimates, that adds up to about $119M in surplus value, 29th in baseball.

PlayerWinsCost
Yordan Alvarez3.1$19M
Jeremy Peña2.9about $12M, estimated
Isaac Paredes2.5cost not yet entered
Yainer Diaz2.4about $10M, estimated
Hunter Brown2.2about $10M, estimated
Josh Hader2.1$19M