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Paradox · Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians project 13th in wins with the 28th-largest 2027 commitment, one of the best returns on money in baseball.

Expected wins
80.4
Win rank
13th
Committed
$68M
Payroll rank
28th

The Cleveland Guardians project for 80.4 wins, 13th in baseball, with $68M committed to 2027, the 28th-largest total.

91% of their projected value comes from players near the league minimum or in arbitration, against 71% for the average club. That share ranks 5th in baseball.

Their biggest projected contributors: Cade Smith, 3.3 wins at about the minimum; Parker Messick, 2.7 wins at about the minimum; Steven Kwan, 2.6 wins at about $11M, estimated.

On our estimates, that adds up to about $280M in surplus value, 3rd in baseball.

PlayerWinsCost
Cade Smith3.3about the minimum
Parker Messick2.7about the minimum
Steven Kwan2.6about $11M, estimated
José Ramírez2.4cost not yet entered
Patrick Bailey2.3about $5M, estimated
Brayan Rocchio1.9about $4M, estimated