Change · Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays went 98-64 in 2026. The model projects 76 wins for 2027, a 22-win drop.
- 2026 record
- 98-64
- Run differential
- +86
- 2027 expected
- 76.2
- Change
- -21.8
The Tampa Bay Rays went 98-64 in 2026 with a +86 run differential.
Their 736 runs scored and 650 allowed point to about 90 wins, so they won 8 more games than their run totals suggest.
For 2027 the model projects 76.2 wins, with an 80% range of 66 to 86. Its strongest spot is third base (+1.4 wins against the average club) and its weakest is shortstop (-2.7).
Projections pull every club toward the middle, and the 2027 roster doesn't yet include free agents, trades or players returning from injury.
| Position | Projected wins | vs. league |
|---|---|---|
| Third base | 3.5 | +1.4 |
| Rotation | 8.6 | +1.1 |
| First base | 2.0 | +0.7 |
| Designated hitter | 0.8 | +0.3 |
| Right field | 1.3 | -0.1 |
| Bullpen | 8.0 | -0.5 |
| Second base | 1.0 | -0.8 |
| Catcher | 1.9 | -1.0 |
| Left field | 0.0 | -1.1 |
| Center field | 1.1 | -1.2 |
| Shortstop | 0.2 | -2.7 |