Change · New York Mets
The New York Mets went 74-88 in 2026. The model projects 85 wins for 2027, an 11-win rise.
- 2026 record
- 74-88
- Run differential
- -32
- 2027 expected
- 84.8
- Change
- +10.8
The New York Mets went 74-88 in 2026 with a -32 run differential.
Their 699 runs scored and 731 allowed point to about 78 wins, so they won 4 fewer games than their run totals suggest.
For 2027 the model projects 84.8 wins, with an 80% range of 75 to 95. Its strongest spot is left field (+3.5 wins against the average club) and its weakest is designated hitter (-1.0).
Projections pull every club toward the middle, and the 2027 roster doesn't yet include free agents, trades or players returning from injury.
| Position | Projected wins | vs. league |
|---|---|---|
| Left field | 4.7 | +3.5 |
| Shortstop | 4.3 | +1.4 |
| Right field | 2.1 | +0.7 |
| Center field | 3.0 | +0.6 |
| Third base | 2.6 | +0.5 |
| Catcher | 3.3 | +0.3 |
| Bullpen | 8.5 | +0.0 |
| Second base | 1.8 | -0.1 |
| Rotation | 6.9 | -0.5 |
| First base | 0.6 | -0.8 |
| Designated hitter | -0.6 | -1.0 |
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