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Change · Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs went 89-73 in 2026. The model projects 76 wins for 2027, a 13-win drop.

2026 record
89-73
Run differential
+147
2027 expected
76.2
Change
-12.8

The Chicago Cubs went 89-73 in 2026 with a +147 run differential.

Their 850 runs scored and 703 allowed point to about 95 wins, so they won 6 fewer games than their run totals suggest.

For 2027 the model projects 76.2 wins, with an 80% range of 66 to 86. Its strongest spot is center field (+2.1 wins against the average club) and its weakest is rotation (-3.7).

Projections pull every club toward the middle, and the 2027 roster doesn't yet include free agents, trades or players returning from injury.

PositionProjected winsvs. league
Center field4.5+2.1
Third base3.2+1.1
Second base2.7+0.9
Shortstop3.2+0.4
First base1.6+0.3
Left field0.6-0.6
Designated hitter-0.5-1.0
Bullpen7.5-1.0
Right field0.2-1.2
Catcher1.6-1.3
Rotation3.8-3.7