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National League East

Washington Nationals

77-85 in 2026, 4th in the division, +6 run differential. Home: Nationals Park.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

What Stands Out

Data Desk →
Expected wins
74.6
80% range
65–85
Rank
28 of 30
Lost to injury
2.2
Depth value
2.6
Left on table
0.0
Surplus
$256M
Value priced
100%
Committed to 2027
$66.4M
IL days, 2026
1,248 (24th-most)
IL placements, 2026
16
Players used, 2026
55 (3rd-most)
Options, 2026
62
Waiver claims, 2026
16

Where the numbers go quiet: Bullpen. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

02550751001252000200520102015202020262000: 67 (clubs ranged 65 to 97)2001: 68 (clubs ranged 62 to 116)2002: 83 (clubs ranged 55 to 103)2003: 83 (clubs ranged 43 to 101)2004: 67 (clubs ranged 51 to 105)2005: 81 (clubs ranged 56 to 100)2006: 71 (clubs ranged 61 to 97)2007: 73 (clubs ranged 66 to 96)2008: 59 (clubs ranged 59 to 100)2009: 59 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2010: 69 (clubs ranged 57 to 97)2011: 80 (clubs ranged 56 to 102)2012: 98 (clubs ranged 55 to 98)2013: 86 (clubs ranged 51 to 97)2014: 96 (clubs ranged 64 to 98)2015: 83 (clubs ranged 63 to 100)2016: 95 (clubs ranged 59 to 103)2017: 97 (clubs ranged 64 to 104)2018: 82 (clubs ranged 47 to 108)2019: 93 (clubs ranged 47 to 107)2020: 26 (clubs ranged 19 to 43)2021: 65 (clubs ranged 52 to 107)2022: 55 (clubs ranged 55 to 111)2023: 71 (clubs ranged 50 to 104)2024: 71 (clubs ranged 41 to 98)2025: 66 (clubs ranged 43 to 97)2026: 77 (clubs ranged 58 to 103)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

3040506070802000200520102015202020252000: 49 (clubs ranged 36 to 56)2001: 47 (clubs ranged 35 to 53)2002: 43 (clubs ranged 35 to 59)2003: 43 (clubs ranged 34 to 57)2004: 46 (clubs ranged 36 to 58)2005: 55 (clubs ranged 36 to 55)2006: 57 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2007: 47 (clubs ranged 40 to 54)2008: 50 (clubs ranged 39 to 59)2009: 55 (clubs ranged 41 to 56)2010: 46 (clubs ranged 37 to 57)2011: 44 (clubs ranged 42 to 55)2012: 43 (clubs ranged 38 to 56)2013: 44 (clubs ranged 39 to 56)2014: 40 (clubs ranged 39 to 64)2015: 44 (clubs ranged 40 to 60)2016: 43 (clubs ranged 41 to 60)2017: 49 (clubs ranged 41 to 61)2018: 53 (clubs ranged 41 to 63)2019: 50 (clubs ranged 43 to 67)2020: 43 (clubs ranged 38 to 61)2021: 60 (clubs ranged 45 to 69)2022: 55 (clubs ranged 43 to 68)2023: 48 (clubs ranged 41 to 66)2024: 50 (clubs ranged 44 to 70)2025: 51 (clubs ranged 44 to 71)
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

01,0002,0003,0004,0002015202020262015: 1,158 (clubs ranged 483 to 2,123)2016: 533 (clubs ranged 437 to 2,606)2017: 1,464 (clubs ranged 367 to 2,386)2018: 1,723 (clubs ranged 826 to 2,304)2019: 1,451 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,533)2020: 531 (clubs ranged 124 to 1,270)2021: 1,848 (clubs ranged 837 to 3,155)2022: 2,546 (clubs ranged 926 to 3,560)2023: 1,623 (clubs ranged 684 to 2,409)2024: 790 (clubs ranged 697 to 2,076)2025: 1,302 (clubs ranged 412 to 2,625)2026: 1,248 (clubs ranged 360 to 2,374)
Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

PlayerAgeLevelRoleProj. wins
Ben Grable25AAPitcher1.6
Isaac Lyon23AAPitcher1.5
Robert Cranz24AAPitcher1.4
Zak Kent29AAAPitcher1.2
Josh Hartle24AAPitcher1.2
Seaver King24AAAHitter1.0
Ethan Petry23AAHitter1.0
Matt Krook33AAAPitcher1.0

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tierPlayersCommitted
Contracts1$6.2M
Arbitration (est.)10$37.5M
Near the minimum29$22.6M
Not yet priced0–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

Upgrade Board →
Spotvs. leagueFree agent optionWins gainedMarket est.
Bullpen-2.4Adrian Morejon+1.3$22.6M
David Bednar+1.0$18.1M
Kris Bubic+0.8$16.7M
Second base-1.4Brandon Lowe+2.7$34.8M
Jazz Chisholm Jr.+2.6$33.0M
Gleyber Torres+2.3$29.5M
Rotation-1.1Tarik Skubal+3.9$46.6M
Sonny Gray+2.4$28.6M
Trevor Rogers+2.3$27.9M

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher2.0 wins, -1.0 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Keibert Ruiz2967%1.3$6.3M
Drew Millas °2931%0.7~$1.4M est.
Harry Ford241%0.0about minimum

First base0.6 wins, -0.7 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Andrés Chaparro2882%0.7about minimum
Abimelec Ortiz2517%0.0about minimum

Second base0.4 wins, -1.4 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jorbit Vivas2624%0.2about minimum
Nasim Nuñez2774%0.2about minimum
Nate Furman °262%0.0about minimum

Third base1.8 wins, -0.3 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Brady House2486%1.6about minimum
Jorbit Vivas2612%0.1about minimum
Andrés Chaparro282%0.1about minimum

Shortstop2.5 wins, -0.3 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
CJ Abrams2784%2.4~$10.3M est.
Nasim Nuñez2716%0.1about minimum

Left field1.9 wins, +0.7 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Daylen Lile2586%1.3about minimum
James Wood2514%0.5about minimum

Center field2.4 wins, +0.0 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Jacob Young2884%2.0~$4.4M est.
Dylan Crews2516%0.3about minimum

Right field1.6 wins, +0.3 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
James Wood2521%0.8about minimum
Dylan Crews2575%0.8about minimum
Andrew Pinckney273%0.0about minimum

Designated hitter1.3 wins, +0.8 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
James Wood2556%1.6about minimum
Daylen Lile256%0.0about minimum
Andrés Chaparro285%0.0about minimum
Yohandy Morales261%0.0about minimum
Jorbit Vivas262%0.0about minimum
Abimelec Ortiz2529%-0.2about minimum

Rotation6.3 wins, -1.1 vs. league

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Cade Cavalli2980%2.1~$9.0M est.
Connelly Early2587%1.6about minimum
Andrew Alvarez2881%1.6about minimum
DJ Herz2681%1.0about minimum
Jake Irvin3077%0.0~$780K est.

Bullpen6.0 wins, -2.4 vs. league °

PlayerAgeShareWinsCost
Will Dion °2788%1.2about minimum
Jake Bird3284%0.9~$3.9M est.
Josiah Gray °3084%0.8~$5.3M est.
Jackson Kent °2491%0.7about minimum
Riley Cornelio °2788%0.6about minimum
Brad Lord2787%0.5about minimum
Eddy Yean °2688%0.4about minimum
Matt Waldron3185%0.4~$850K est.
Braxton Roxby °2865%0.3about minimum
Jack Sinclair °2828%0.1about minimum
Erik Tolman °287%0.0about minimum
Kyle Nicolas281%0.0~$780K est.

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.