American League East
Toronto Blue Jays
79-83 in 2026, 5th in the division, -46 run differential. Home: Rogers Centre.
The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.
- Expected wins
- 79.7
- 80% range
- 70–90
- Rank
- 16 of 30
- Lost to injury
- 3.0
- Depth value
- 2.8
- Left on table
- 0.0
- Surplus
- $176M
- Value priced
- 85%
- Committed to 2027
- $145.4M
- IL days, 2026
- 2,182 (6th-most)
- IL placements, 2026
- 35
- Players used, 2026
- 55 (3rd-most)
- Options, 2026
- 53
- Waiver claims, 2026
- 5
Where the numbers go quiet: Designated hitter. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.
The Long View
Wins by season
The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.
Players used by season
Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.
Player-days on the injured list
Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.
Next Up
| Player | Age | Level | Role | Proj. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Gallagher | 27 | AAA | Pitcher | 1.5 |
| Javen Coleman | 26 | AA | Pitcher | 1.3 |
| Danny Thompson Jr. | 25 | AA | Pitcher | 1.3 |
| Dub Gleed | 25 | AA | Hitter | 1.2 |
| Sam Gardner | 30 | AAA | Pitcher | 1.2 |
| Yondrei Rojas | 25 | AA | Pitcher | 1.2 |
| Austin Marozas | 29 | AA | Pitcher | 1.2 |
| Aaron Parker | 24 | AA | Hitter | 1.1 |
Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.
Where the Money Goes
| 2027 cost tier | Players | Committed |
|---|---|---|
| Contracts | 6 | $103.6M |
| Arbitration (est.) | 8 | $26.2M |
| Near the minimum | 20 | $15.6M |
| Not yet priced | 3 | – |
Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.
Biggest Weak Spots
Upgrade Board →| Spot | vs. league | Free agent option | Wins gained | Market est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center field | -0.9 | Trent Grisham | +1.6 | $34.2M |
| Tyrone Taylor | +0.3 | $18.7M | ||
| Luis Robert Jr. | +0.3 | $19.0M | ||
| Second base | -0.9 | Brandon Lowe | +2.2 | $34.8M |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | +2.0 | $33.0M | ||
| Gleyber Torres | +1.8 | $29.5M | ||
| Left field | -0.9 | Randy Arozarena | +1.4 | $21.0M |
| Ian Happ | +1.3 | $20.6M | ||
| Taylor Ward | +1.2 | $19.4M |
Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.
The Depth Chart
Catcher4.0 wins, +1.1 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 29 | 67% | 3.3 | $11.6M |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 27 | 31% | 0.7 | about minimum |
| Shawn Ross ° | 28 | 1% | 0.0 | about minimum |
First base2.4 wins, +1.1 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 28 | 84% | 2.5 | $35.7M |
| Sean Keys ° | 24 | 2% | 0.0 | about minimum |
| Josh Smith | 30 | 14% | -0.1 | ~$980K est. |
Second base0.9 wins, -0.9 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement | 31 | 73% | 0.6 | ~$5.1M est. |
| Josh Smith | 30 | 26% | 0.3 | ~$980K est. |
| Davis Schneider | 28 | 1% | 0.0 | ~$800K est. |
Third base2.4 wins, +0.3 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazuma Okamoto | 31 | 84% | 2.1 | not entered |
| Addison Barger | 28 | 16% | 0.3 | about minimum |
Shortstop2.3 wins, -0.5 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Giménez | 29 | 83% | 2.1 | $15.2M |
| Ernie Clement | 31 | 16% | 0.2 | ~$5.1M est. |
Left field0.3 wins, -0.9 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 28 | 82% | 0.4 | ~$800K est. |
| Yohendrick Piñango | 25 | 17% | -0.1 | about minimum |
Center field1.5 wins, -0.9 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Bateman | 25 | 86% | 1.2 | about minimum |
| Nathan Lukes | 33 | 14% | 0.3 | ~$1.6M est. |
Right field0.6 wins, -0.7 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 33 | 74% | 0.5 | ~$1.6M est. |
| Addison Barger | 28 | 23% | 0.2 | about minimum |
| Yohendrick Piñango | 25 | 3% | 0.0 | about minimum |
Designated hitter0.5 wins, +0.0 vs. league °
Rotation7.2 wins, -0.3 vs. league
Bullpen9.9 wins, +1.5 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Varland | 30 | 85% | 2.3 | ~$10.0M est. |
| Spencer Miles | 27 | 88% | 2.1 | about minimum |
| Tyler Rogers | 37 | 84% | 1.4 | $12.3M |
| Mason Fluharty | 26 | 87% | 1.1 | about minimum |
| Brendon Little | 31 | 85% | 0.8 | ~$3.5M est. |
| Braydon Fisher | 27 | 87% | 0.6 | about minimum |
| Ricky Tiedemann ° | 25 | 91% | 0.5 | about minimum |
| José Rodríguez ° | 26 | 88% | 0.5 | about minimum |
| Chad Dallas ° | 27 | 66% | 0.3 | about minimum |
| Brendan Cellucci ° | 29 | 27% | 0.1 | about minimum |
| Jake Bloss ° | 26 | 7% | 0.0 | about minimum |
| Chase Lee ° | 29 | 1% | 0.0 | about minimum |
Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.