American League Central

Minnesota Twins

77-85 in 2026, 3rd in the division, -58 run differential. Home: Target Field.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

Expected wins: 78.1
80% range: 68–88
Rank: 21 of 30
Lost to injury: 1.5
Depth value: 3.6
Left on table: 0.0
Surplus: $225M
Value priced: 100%

Committed to 2027: $132.9M
IL days, 2026: 1,388 (21st-most)
IL placements, 2026: 29
Players used, 2026: 51 (12th-most)
Options, 2026: 49
Waiver claims, 2026: 5

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

Player	Age	Level	Role	Proj. wins
Caden Kendle	25	AA	Hitter	1.9
Khadim Diaw	24	AA	Hitter	1.5
Marek Houston	23	AA	Hitter	1.4
Paulshawn Pasqualotto	26	AA	Pitcher	1.2
Spencer Bengard	25	AA	Pitcher	1.1
Woo-Suk Go	29	AAA	Pitcher	1.1
Riley Quick	23	AA	Pitcher	1.1
Kala'i Rosario	25	AA	Hitter	1.0

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tier	Players	Committed
Contracts	4	$50.7M
Arbitration (est.)	14	$67.5M
Near the minimum	19	$14.8M
Not yet priced	1	–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

Upgrade Board →

Spot	vs. league	Free agent option	Wins gained	Market est.
First base	-1.2	Jake Bauers	+1.3	$18.8M
		Ty France	+0.6	$11.0M
		Josh Bell	+0.5	$9.0M
Shortstop	-1.1	Miguel Rojas	+0.4	$25.7M
		Mauricio Dubón	+0.3	$24.7M
		J.P. Crawford	+0.3	$23.7M
Catcher	-0.8	Ryan Jeffers	+0.6	$41.5M
		Gary Sánchez	+0.3	$37.6M

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher2.1 wins, -0.8 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Victor Caratini	34	67%	2.1	$7.0M

First base0.1 wins, -1.2 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Victor Caratini	34	20%	0.1	$7.0M
Kody Clemens	31	5%	0.0	~$8.7M est.
Royce Lewis	28	5%	0.0	~$6.5M est.

Second base2.4 wins, +0.6 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Kody Clemens	31	84%	2.0	~$8.7M est.
Luke Keaschall	25	16%	0.4	about minimum

Third base1.6 wins, -0.5 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Royce Lewis	28	84%	1.5	~$6.5M est.
Brooks Lee	26	5%	0.1	about minimum
Ryan Kreidler	30	8%	0.0	~$1.2M est.
Ben Ross	26	3%	0.0	about minimum

Shortstop1.8 wins, -1.1 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Brooks Lee	26	83%	1.6	about minimum
Ryan Kreidler	30	16%	0.2	~$1.2M est.

Left field1.4 wins, +0.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Trevor Larnach	30	84%	1.3	~$8.3M est.
Austin Martin	28	15%	0.2	about minimum

Center field3.3 wins, +0.9 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Byron Buxton	34	82%	3.1	$14.3M
Ryan Kreidler	30	16%	0.1	~$1.2M est.
Luke Keaschall	25	2%	0.0	about minimum

Right field1.0 wins, -0.4 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Matt Wallner	30	84%	0.8	~$3.4M est.
Luke Keaschall	25	15%	0.2	about minimum
Austin Martin	28	1%	0.0	about minimum

Designated hitter0.1 wins, -0.4 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Byron Buxton	34	5%	0.1	$14.3M
Trevor Larnach	30	5%	0.0	~$8.3M est.

Rotation7.7 wins, +0.2 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Joe Ryan	31	77%	1.9	~$12.4M est.
Taj Bradley	26	81%	1.6	~$3.4M est.
Connor Prielipp	26	64%	1.5	about minimum
Zebby Matthews	27	81%	1.0	about minimum
Dean Kremer	31	77%	0.9	~$6.0M est.
Bailey Ober	32	77%	0.8	~$5.3M est.

Bullpen9.0 wins, +0.6 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Jeff Hoffman	34	85%	1.8	$11.0M
Andrew Morris	26	88%	1.6	about minimum
Pablo López	31	84%	1.3	$18.4M
Kody Funderburk	31	85%	1.0	~$2.1M est.
Tommy Nance	36	85%	0.8	~$5.4M est.
Cole Sands	30	84%	0.7	~$3.1M est.
Kendry Rojas °	25	91%	0.6	about minimum
Mick Abel °	26	86%	0.5	about minimum
David Festa	27	61%	0.3	about minimum
Connor Prielipp	26	16%	0.2	about minimum
Garrett Acton °	29	24%	0.1	~$780K est.
Travis Adams	27	6%	0.0	about minimum
Anthony Banda	34	1%	0.0	not entered

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.