Decision · Los Angeles Angels
Brandon Lowe would add about 2.8 projected wins at second base for the Los Angeles Angels, one of the biggest fits on the market.
- Wins gained
- +2.8
- Market estimate
- $35M
- Spot vs. league
- -1.3
American League West
Los Angeles Angels
62-100 in 2026, 5th in the division, -97 run differential. Home: Angel Stadium.
The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.
What Stands Out
Data Desk →- Expected wins
- 72.5
- 80% range
- 62–82
- Rank
- 29 of 30
- Lost to injury
- 1.9
- Depth value
- 2.6
- Left on table
- 0.4
- Surplus
- $171M
- Value priced
- 96%
- Committed to 2027
- $112.1M
- IL days, 2026
- 1,727 (14th-most)
- IL placements, 2026
- 34
- Players used, 2026
- 51 (12th-most)
- Options, 2026
- 40
- Waiver claims, 2026
- 5
Where the numbers go quiet: Bullpen. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.
The Long View
Wins by season
The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.
Players used by season
Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.
Player-days on the injured list
Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.
Next Up
| Player | Age | Level | Role | Proj. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arjun Nimmala | 22 | AA | Hitter | 1.6 |
| Jake Munroe | 24 | AA | Hitter | 1.6 |
| Niko Kavadas | 29 | AAA | Hitter | 1.5 |
| Lucas Mahlstedt | 24 | AA | Pitcher | 1.5 |
| Camden Minacci | 25 | AA | Pitcher | 1.5 |
| Sammy Peralta | 29 | AAA | Pitcher | 1.3 |
| Rob Kaminsky | 33 | AAA | Pitcher | 1.3 |
| Eybersson Polanco | 24 | AA | Pitcher | 1.3 |
Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.
Where the Money Goes
| 2027 cost tier | Players | Committed |
|---|---|---|
| Contracts | 2 | $56.5M |
| Arbitration (est.) | 11 | $39.1M |
| Near the minimum | 21 | $16.4M |
| Not yet priced | 3 | – |
Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.
Biggest Weak Spots
Upgrade Board →| Spot | vs. league | Free agent option | Wins gained | Market est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | -2.0 | Adrian Morejon | +1.6 | $22.6M |
| David Bednar | +1.2 | $18.1M | ||
| Kris Bubic | +1.1 | $16.7M | ||
| Second base | -1.3 | Brandon Lowe | +2.8 | $34.8M |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | +2.7 | $33.0M | ||
| Gleyber Torres | +2.4 | $29.5M | ||
| Right field | -1.3 | Seiya Suzuki | +2.4 | $28.9M |
| Jake Bauers | +2.1 | $24.9M | ||
| Michael Conforto | +1.1 | $12.6M |
Already on the roster: Christian Moore over Oswald Peraza (2B). Projected at least a win better at the plate; defense isn't weighed.
Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.
The Depth Chart
Catcher1.8 wins, -1.2 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moisés Ballesteros | 24 | 32% | 0.9 | about minimum |
| Tyler Heineman | 36 | 67% | 0.8 | not entered |
First base1.2 wins, -0.1 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel | 25 | 86% | 1.3 | ~$2.7M est. |
| Vaughn Grissom | 26 | 14% | -0.1 | ~$780K est. |
Second base0.5 wins, -1.3 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moore | 25 | 25% | 0.4 | about minimum |
| Oswald Peraza | 27 | 74% | 0.1 | ~$780K est. |
| Vaughn Grissom | 26 | 1% | 0.0 | ~$780K est. |
Third base0.9 wins, -1.3 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzer Guzman | 23 | 86% | 0.7 | about minimum |
| Nacho Alvarez Jr. ° | 24 | 14% | 0.2 | about minimum |
Shortstop3.0 wins, +0.1 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 26 | 84% | 2.9 | ~$6.3M est. |
| Oswald Peraza | 27 | 16% | 0.1 | ~$780K est. |
Left field0.5 wins, -0.6 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Meckler | 27 | 83% | 0.5 | ~$1.2M est. |
| Jose Siri | 32 | 15% | 0.0 | not entered |
| Josh Lowe | 29 | 2% | 0.0 | ~$780K est. |
Center field3.2 wins, +0.8 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 36 | 82% | 3.0 | $35.5M |
| Jose Siri | 32 | 18% | 0.2 | not entered |
Right field0.1 wins, -1.3 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Campero ° | 30 | 12% | 0.1 | about minimum |
| Wade Meckler | 27 | 6% | 0.0 | ~$1.2M est. |
| Josh Lowe | 29 | 82% | 0.0 | ~$780K est. |
Designated hitter-0.5 wins, -1.0 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 36 | 5% | 0.1 | $35.5M |
| Vaughn Grissom | 26 | 5% | -0.1 | ~$780K est. |
| Christian Moore | 25 | 30% | -0.2 | about minimum |
| Moisés Ballesteros | 24 | 59% | -0.3 | about minimum |
Rotation7.7 wins, +0.2 vs. league
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 28 | 81% | 2.5 | ~$16.1M est. |
| Walbert Ureña | 23 | 87% | 2.0 | about minimum |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 36 | 81% | 1.5 | $21.0M |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 28 | 81% | 1.0 | ~$2.1M est. |
| Ryan Johnson | 25 | 87% | 0.5 | about minimum |
| George Klassen ° | 25 | 22% | 0.2 | about minimum |
| Jack Kochanowicz | 27 | 55% | 0.0 | about minimum |
Bullpen6.5 wins, -2.0 vs. league °
| Player | Age | Share | Wins | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samy Natera Jr. ° | 28 | 88% | 1.4 | about minimum |
| Ryan Watson | 30 | 85% | 1.1 | about minimum |
| Tayler Saucedo | 34 | 85% | 0.9 | ~$5.9M est. |
| Ben Joyce ° | 27 | 88% | 0.8 | ~$1.6M est. |
| José Fermin | 26 | 87% | 0.6 | about minimum |
| Nicolo Pinazzi ° | 28 | 87% | 0.5 | about minimum |
| Blake Weiman ° | 32 | 85% | 0.4 | about minimum |
| Luke Murphy ° | 28 | 88% | 0.4 | about minimum |
| George Klassen ° | 25 | 51% | 0.2 | about minimum |
| Sam Bachman | 28 | 38% | 0.1 | ~$780K est. |
| Trevor Martin ° | 27 | 12% | 0.0 | about minimum |
| Mitch Farris | 26 | 3% | 0.0 | about minimum |
Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.