American League Central

Detroit Tigers

76-86 in 2026, 4th in the division, +71 run differential. Home: Comerica Park.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

Expected wins: 80.5
80% range: 71–91
Rank: 12 of 30
Lost to injury: 1.6
Depth value: 4.2
Left on table: 0.0
Surplus: $257M
Value priced: 91%

Committed to 2027: $96.0M
IL days, 2026: 2,208 (4th-most)
IL placements, 2026: 33
Players used, 2026: 50 (18th-most)
Options, 2026: 46
Waiver claims, 2026: 5

Where the numbers go quiet: Bullpen. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

Player	Age	Level	Role	Proj. wins
Zyhir Hope	22	AA	Hitter	1.6
Max Anderson	25	AAA	Hitter	1.4
Hayden Minton	26	AA	Pitcher	1.3
Moises Rodriguez	25	AA	Pitcher	1.3
Luke Taggart	30	AA	Pitcher	1.3
Jack Little	29	AAA	Pitcher	1.2
Trevin Michael	30	AA	Pitcher	1.2
Colin Fields	27	AA	Pitcher	1.2

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tier	Players	Committed
Contracts	2	$32.8M
Arbitration (est.)	12	$45.2M
Near the minimum	23	$17.9M
Not yet priced	3	–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

Upgrade Board →

Spot	vs. league	Free agent option	Wins gained	Market est.
Right field	-1.3	Seiya Suzuki	+2.4	$28.9M
		Jake Bauers	+2.0	$24.9M
		Michael Conforto	+1.0	$12.6M
Second base	-0.9	Brandon Lowe	+2.2	$34.8M
		Jazz Chisholm Jr.	+2.0	$33.0M
		Gleyber Torres	+1.8	$29.5M
First base	-0.8	Jake Bauers	+1.2	$18.8M
		Ty France	+0.5	$11.0M
		Josh Bell	+0.3	$9.0M

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher4.2 wins, +1.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Dillon Dingler	29	68%	3.3	about minimum
Eduardo Valencia	27	31%	1.0	about minimum
Thayron Liranzo °	24	1%	0.0	about minimum

First base0.5 wins, -0.8 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Spencer Torkelson	28	84%	0.4	~$1.7M est.
Colt Keith	26	6%	0.1	about minimum
Eduardo Valencia	27	9%	0.0	about minimum

Second base0.9 wins, -0.9 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Hao-Yu Lee	24	85%	0.7	about minimum
Zach McKinstry	32	14%	0.2	~$2.3M est.

Third base2.9 wins, +0.7 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Colt Keith	26	84%	2.5	about minimum
Kevin McGonigle	23	6%	0.2	about minimum
Zach McKinstry	32	9%	0.1	~$2.3M est.

Shortstop4.2 wins, +1.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Kevin McGonigle	23	85%	4.0	about minimum
Javier Báez	35	14%	0.1	$23.3M

Left field2.6 wins, +1.5 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Riley Greene	27	84%	2.6	~$11.3M est.
Ben Malgeri	27	16%	0.0	about minimum

Center field1.6 wins, -0.8 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Matt Vierling	31	84%	1.3	~$8.2M est.
Max Clark	23	16%	0.3	about minimum

Right field0.1 wins, -1.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Cost
Zach McKinstry	32	14%	~$2.3M est.
Kerry Carpenter	30	2%	~$780K est.
Wenceel Pérez	28	83%	about minimum

Designated hitter0.3 wins, -0.2 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Dillon Dingler	29	14%	0.2	about minimum
Kerry Carpenter	30	77%	0.1	~$780K est.
Brett Callahan °	26	2%	0.0	about minimum
Eduardo Valencia	27	6%	0.0	about minimum

Rotation7.0 wins, -0.5 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Framber Valdez	34	80%	1.7	in review
Jackson Jobe	25	87%	1.2	about minimum
Drew Anderson	33	77%	1.1	in review
Troy Melton	27	81%	1.0	about minimum
Keider Montero	27	81%	1.0	about minimum
River Ryan °	29	60%	1.0	about minimum

Bullpen8.7 wins, +0.2 vs. league °

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Will Vest	32	84%	2.0	~$13.0M est.
Drew Sommers °	27	88%	1.6	about minimum
Reese Olson	28	87%	1.3	~$2.9M est.
Brant Hurter	29	88%	1.1	about minimum
Andrew Sears °	25	91%	0.7	about minimum
Jake Miller °	26	88%	0.6	about minimum
Enmanuel De Jesus °	31	84%	0.5	~$1.1M est.
Tyler Holton	31	81%	0.4	~$1.8M est.
Brenan Hanifee	29	56%	0.3	~$780K est.
Ty Madden °	27	23%	0.1	about minimum
River Ryan °	29	20%	0.1	about minimum
Jacob Waguespack °	34	5%	0.0	not entered
Kyle Finnegan	36	1%	0.0	$9.5M

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.