86-76 in 2026, 3rd in the division, +9 run differential. Home: Chase Field.
The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.
Expected wins
82.2
80% range
72–92
Rank
10 of 30
Lost to injury
3.0
Depth value
3.4
Left on table
0.0
Surplus
$208M
Value priced
82%
Committed to 2027
$120.8M
IL days, 2026
2,200 (5th-most)
IL placements, 2026
29
Players used, 2026
49 (19th-most)
Options, 2026
51
Waiver claims, 2026
2
Where the numbers go quiet: Center field, Bullpen. The regulars here have too little MLB history for public stats to say much.
The Long View
Wins by season
The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings
Players used by season
Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.
Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data
Player-days on the injured list
Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.
Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions
Next Up
Player
Age
Level
Role
Proj. wins
Pavin Smith
31
AAA
Hitter
2.2
Demetrio Crisantes
23
AAA
Hitter
1.4
Manuel Pena
24
AA
Hitter
1.3
Cristofer Torin
22
AA
Hitter
1.1
Gavin Conticello
24
AA
Hitter
1.1
Trent Youngblood
26
AA
Hitter
1.1
Angel Ortiz
25
AA
Hitter
1.1
Isaiah Campbell
30
AAA
Pitcher
1.1
Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.
Where the Money Goes
2027 cost tier
Players
Committed
Contracts
5
$68.7M
Arbitration (est.)
7
$38.0M
Near the minimum
18
$14.0M
Not yet priced
3
–
Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.
Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.
Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.