National League East

Atlanta Braves

94-68 in 2026, won the division, +116 run differential. Home: Truist Park.

The roster as it stands on 2026-11-05, projected for 2027. Preliminary: free agents are off rosters and offseason moves are still to come.

Expected wins: 83.6
80% range: 74–94
Rank: 7 of 30
Lost to injury: 3.1
Depth value: 3.0
Left on table: 0.0
Surplus: $187M
Value priced: 83%

Committed to 2027: $157.7M
IL days, 2026: 1,636 (17th-most)
IL placements, 2026: 30
Players used, 2026: 51 (12th-most)
Options, 2026: 47
Waiver claims, 2026: 8

The Long View

Wins by season

The line is this club; the shaded band runs from baseball's fewest wins to its most. 2020 was a 60-game season.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data and MLB standings

Players used by season

Players who appeared for the club; the band is the league's range.

Source: Roster Memo count of Retrosheet data

Player-days on the injured list

Counted from transactions; the band is the league's range. The 10-day list began in 2017.

Source: Roster Memo count of MLB transactions

Next Up

Player	Age	Level	Role	Proj. wins
Ian Hamilton	32	AAA	Pitcher	1.6
John Gil	21	AA	Hitter	1.4
Luis Vargas	25	AA	Pitcher	1.3
Cedric De Grandpre	25	AAA	Pitcher	1.3
Ricky Vanasco	29	AAA	Pitcher	1.2
Owen Carey	21	AA	Hitter	1.1
Julio Robaina	26	AA	Pitcher	1.1
Herick Hernandez	24	AA	Pitcher	1.1

Best-projected Triple-A and Double-A players in the organization who aren't on the 40-man, in wins per 600 PA or 150 IP. Thin samples are regressed hard.

Where the Money Goes

2027 cost tier	Players	Committed
Contracts	7	$116.9M
Arbitration (est.)	10	$32.2M
Near the minimum	11	$8.6M
Not yet priced	7	–

Luxury-tax values where we have a sourced contract; arbitration figures are our estimates.

Biggest Weak Spots

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Spot	vs. league	Free agent option	Wins gained	Market est.
Shortstop	-1.6	Miguel Rojas	+0.8	$25.7M
		Mauricio Dubón	+0.7	$24.7M
		J.P. Crawford	+0.6	$23.7M
Left field	-0.8	Ian Happ	+1.2	$20.6M
		Randy Arozarena	+1.2	$21.0M
		Taylor Ward	+1.1	$19.4M
Second base	-0.7	Brandon Lowe	+1.9	$34.8M
		Jazz Chisholm Jr.	+1.8	$33.0M
		Gleyber Torres	+1.5	$29.5M

Options are inferred from recent transactions, so some may have signed elsewhere. Wins gained are cut to 90%, a factor tested on bench players and assumed here. Market estimates price projected wins at $10.8M each, not what a player would actually sign for.

The Depth Chart

Catcher4.3 wins, +1.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Drake Baldwin	26	68%	3.5	about minimum
Sean Murphy	33	32%	0.7	$12.2M

First base2.2 wins, +0.9 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Matt Olson	33	84%	2.2	$21.0M
Austin Riley	30	5%	0.0	$21.2M

Second base1.1 wins, -0.7 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Ozzie Albies	30	84%	0.9	in review
Brett Wisely	28	16%	0.2	~$780K est.

Third base2.0 wins, -0.1 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Austin Riley	30	84%	2.0	$21.2M

Shortstop1.3 wins, -1.6 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Jim Jarvis	27	84%	1.3	about minimum

Left field0.4 wins, -0.8 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Mike Yastrzemski	37	71%	0.4	$11.5M

Center field3.5 wins, +1.1 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Michael Harris II	26	84%	3.2	$9.0M
Mike Yastrzemski	37	16%	0.3	$11.5M

Right field2.3 wins, +0.9 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Ronald Acuña Jr.	30	84%	2.3	in review
Brewer Hicklen	31	16%	0.0	~$780K est.

Designated hitter0.5 wins, +0.0 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Drake Baldwin	26	22%	0.4	about minimum
Michael Harris II	26	6%	0.1	$9.0M
Ronald Acuña Jr.	30	5%	0.1	in review
Ozzie Albies	30	5%	-0.1	in review

Rotation9.8 wins, +2.3 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Chris Sale	38	81%	3.5	$27.0M
Spencer Schwellenbach	27	81%	2.2	about minimum
Reynaldo López	33	77%	1.3	in review
Joey Wentz	30	61%	1.1	~$5.7M est.
Spencer Strider	29	81%	1.0	~$6.2M est.
Grant Holmes	31	77%	0.6	not entered

Bullpen8.5 wins, +0.1 vs. league

Player	Age	Share	Wins	Cost
Dylan Lee	33	85%	2.2	~$14.3M est.
Didier Fuentes	22	91%	1.9	about minimum
Robert Suarez	36	85%	1.4	$15.0M
Blake Burkhalter °	27	88%	0.7	about minimum
Dylan Dodd	29	88%	0.6	~$1.2M est.
Victor Mederos °	26	87%	0.5	~$1.0M est.
Michael Grove °	31	84%	0.4	not entered
James Karinchak °	32	82%	0.3	not entered
Rolddy Muñoz °	27	59%	0.2	about minimum
Joey Wentz	30	16%	0.2	~$5.7M est.
Danny Young °	33	23%	0.1	not entered
Tyler Uberstine °	28	6%	0.0	about minimum
Hurston Waldrep	25	1%	0.0	about minimum

Share is of the job at that spot; a rotation or bullpen lists several jobs, so shares can add to more than 100%. A linked cost is a luxury-tax value from public reporting. How to read this.

The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at "www.retrosheet.org". Player ID links come from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau register (Open Data Commons Attribution License). Rosters, transactions, minor league and 2026 statistics, and defensive measures come from MLB sources. We publish only our own derived results. Methods are on the Model page.